• Lily Sophie Maigret

  Washington editorial office

A big day has arrived in the US primaries: Super Tuesday. In many states, Democratic and Republican voters go to the polls to cast their ballots in the presidential primaries. Unlike other years, it doesn’t look as exciting. Trump is the most likely candidate to become the Republican nominee, and Biden is among the Democrats.

So it feels like a repeat of the steps, a TV series you’ve already watched. There’s a good chance that after Super Tuesday, we’ll be almost certain that the presidential race will be the same battle as 2020: Biden vs. Trump.

In fifteen states, Republicans choose their preferred presidential candidate. Today, there are about a third of the total number of delegates (865). The Republican presidential candidate needs at least 1,215 votes. This means that everyone who scores well today already has the nomination in their pocket.

Trump is far ahead of former Governor Nikki Haley, who is locked in a hopeless battle. She has won only one of the past nine primaries. If she wants to regain the tension, she must score well today.

Healey hopes to do good business in states like Colorado and Virginia. There are many moderate Republican voters who are not attracted to Trump’s message or even dislike him.

The question is how much support does Haley receive today and whether she can hold out much longer? Lenders are already pulling out. Haley said she would not support Trump if she dropped out of the race. It will not give up the delegates it collected in the primaries.

Democrats hold primaries in sixteen states with 1,420 delegates. The Democratic presidential nominee needs a total of 1,968. Incumbent President Biden should not fear competition. Challenger Dean Phillips shares bacon and beans and has never received more than 10 percent of the vote.

Biden lost a number of delegates for the first time in Michigan at the end of last February due to a protest vote from pro-Palestinian voters due to their dissatisfaction with Biden’s policy towards Israel. This protest vote could be a signal that will spread further across states that are now up for grabs.

After the Michigan election, self-help author Marianne Williamson made an unexpected return to the Democratic race, having abandoned her campaign less than a month earlier. Now that Biden’s policy toward Israel has drawn criticism and votes of protest, she sees another opportunity for herself, even if the polls don’t show it.

After Super Tuesday, some more important states will quickly follow, but there’s a good chance the battle will already be decided before the end of the month. The primaries will continue until early June, but the primaries in the remaining states are seen as a formality.

This means that Joe Biden and Donald Trump will be officially nominated by their party at the party conventions next summer. If this prediction comes true, the two rivals will certainly fight a difficult electoral campaign on the way to the presidential elections in November.