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In the first I&O seat poll in November, which was conducted in collaboration with BNNVARA talk show Khaled and SufiPeter Omtzgut’s NSC increased from 27 to 29 seats, with the D66 also gaining 2 seats and rising to 8. The VVD remained at 26 seats and GroenLinks-PvdA lost one seat and became the third major party with 24 seats.
The BBB’s decline is dramatic. In the last elections in March this year, this party was the largest by far and a favorite of dissatisfied voters, but it has now fallen further from 11 to 8 seats. The PVV remains on 18 seats. The Socialist Party gained one additional seat and gained 6 seats. The Party for the Animals, which has suffered internal strife in recent weeks, fell from two to five seats. DNC benefits from anger over Palestine and also rises one seat to 4.
The far-right parties BVNL and JA21 did not gain more than one seat each, and BIJ1 and 50Plus are disappearing from the House of Representatives according to this poll.
In clarification, the pollsters noted the following: “Peter Omtsigt, with his National Security Council, has succeeded well in communicating the positions of his supporters and in attracting the most important topics (immigration, Social Security). In addition, the National Security Council has succeeded in attracting voters who were floating until recently. “There has been uncertainty about his platform for a long time, but some voters who initially waited are now choosing the National Security Council.” Thus, Umtsigt benefits from the strategy of the party that brought down the government in order to hold elections on immigration. Voters also view Peter Umtsigt as an “expert” person and he gets a 7. VVD party leader Yesilgöz a 6.
On the other hand, GroenLinks-PvdA has not yet succeeded in putting climate change and the gap between rich and poor, the most important topics, at the top of the agenda. Timmermans also scored lower, 5, but that’s mainly because his right-wing opponents don’t like him. Voters from his party view him favorably, although there was also criticism of his performance in the debate at RTL. One voter from GL-PvdA: “I think his ideas are very good, but I didn’t think he was convincing and his appearance is very closed.” The bright spot for GroenLinks-PvdA is that the share of potential voters – people who might vote for the party – has increased to 26 percent. Umtzigt also leads the way in this regard with no less than 36 percent. VVD remains stable at 23 percent.
I&O research also shows how the issues voters care about have changed in recent months. In March, migration was the least important topic, but now climate and poverty reduction have been overtaken.
He has so far left Umtzigt untouched by his rivals because they fear that criticizing him will amount to a backlash. Only Volt’s Laurens Dassen entered the fray. The leader of the VVD, Dylan Yeselgoz, has now seen it long enough and dealt with Messiah Twente because he did not have a calculated party program, and did not want to open up later, but now he has made the calculations of the EO studio. Sit down to comment.
EW reports That Umtzigt is planning to move to Torrenti: “If Peter Umtzigt wins the elections, he will take over as prime minister in the next government, provided he can combine that with his family. “He is discussing this matter now at home,” says Nikulin, Van Vroonhoven, no. 2 on the list of the new social contract.
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