Sitting down and starting advice in fantasy football should always be relative and depend on the league. Note that some players are targeted for DFS. Good luck with your Week 13 lineup!
Starting: Brock Purdy, DeVonta Smith
Purdy has Better performance at home But he should throw more than usual against the Eagles’ defense. Philadelphia is allowing the fewest fantasy points to running backs but the second-most to quarterbacks this season. Opponents have had the most pass attempts (41.5) when facing the Eagles this year. The 49ers offense enters healthy, and San Francisco has one of the highest implied team point totals for the week. Don’t let the rain in the forecast shy you away from the players in this potential shootout.
The 49ers defense ranks second (behind only the Eagles) in opponent passing percentage (66.6%) and third in pass attempts per game against them. Smith is better against zone, and San Francisco doesn’t use a lot of man coverage. Furthermore, Smith should see an expanded role as Dallas Goedert is set to miss another game, so he’s a top 12 player at this week’s World Series.
Starting: Rashi Rice, Jayden Reed
Rice had a season high Sharing on the road (68%) And target share (31%) last week, when he became the first Chiefs WR to reach 100 receiving yards since Week 7 of 2022 and also had a career-best 20 receiving yards. Objective of the first reading Ratio (31.8). He still has plenty of room to grow as a route runner, but so does Rice Clearly KC’s best wide receiver. He ranks in the top three in fantasy points per route and yards per route run against zone, which is coverage The Packers are used at a top 10 rate.
Reid should be busy on Sunday with Aaron Jones expected to be out again and Larios Snead tracking down Christian Watson. Reid sees his goal rate Jumped from 16.9% to 27.8% When facing a man, Kansas City uses coverage at the sixth highest rate in the league.
while Reed is expected to play through a chest injuryHis condition needs to be monitored. He’s a good fantasy starter if he’s active.
Sitting: Marquis Brown
Starter: Jaylen Warren
Brown had 12 targets last week and is among the leaders in fantasy points per route run versus a man, a coverage the Steelers use at a rate top 10. But Kyler Murray has struggled passing since his return, and what’s most troubling for Brown this week is a shadow matchup against Joey. Porter Jr. One of the most difficult confrontations in the leagueranked first in Permissible completion rate. Brown also has a heel injury, so he’s a candidate for the bench (if he can play in this game at all).
Pittsburgh’s backfield remained a 50/50 split without OC Matt Canada last week, but the Steelers also reached 400 yards of offense for the first time in 59 games. Warren will bounce back after a rare outing versus Arizona’s defense allowing the second-most fantasy points to a running back. Pittsburgh should make 30-plus rushing attempts on Sunday as a home favorite, giving Warren a top-10 RB attempt this week.
Start DFS: Tyreek Hill ($43)
Starting: Sam Howell
Hill is on pace to record the first 2,000-yard receiving season in NFL history and has the leaders defense allowing the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers. Washington also has its lowest pressure rate ever since trading Montez Sweat and Chase Young Hill leads the league by a mile On goals per route run when his QB is not getting pressure. Hill’s big salary should be worth it A very favorable match.
Even when Howell struggles, he produces fantasy points. He has finished as a top-10 QB in seven of the past eight weeks and should do so again on Sunday. Dolphins are heavily favored and expected to score nearly 30 points, and pass-happy captains are throwing the ball Highest level in the league 74.3% When delayed by landing at least. The only QB in the league with Over 20 big shots and over 20 turnover-worthy playsHowell is a fantasy manager’s dream who also manages. He’s a top-five QB this week.
Starting: Courtland Sutton, Devin Singletary
Sutton relied more on touchdowns than volume during his bounce-back season, but should see more action in Week 13. The Texans have one of the highest implied team point totals for the week and defend the run well but just gave up 364 yards to Trevor Lawrence. It was Russell Wilson Locked in running backs this seasonbut Sunday’s game script should force double-digit targets for Sutton, who I rank as a top-10 WR this week.
Last week’s box score showed a near-even split in rushing attempts between the returning Damion Pierce (five) and Singletary (six). But Singletary also finished in the top five among fullbacks Surprise ratio And Share the road. He also outperformed Pierce Four to two in the red zone And two to zero inside five (where it was Stop at one twice). It was the only one Top 10 in fantasy RB usage Despite seeing just six campaigns, he also saw a season-high seven goals (19.4% share).
Pierce’s return certainly hurts Singletary, but he remains the Texans’ lead and has a favorable matchup on Sunday. He has quietly become a Bronco Incredibly stingy pass defense But they have given up the most fantasy points to running backs this season. Houston has the third-highest implied team points total, so Singletary is a solid fantasy starter.
Starting: David Montgomery, Joan Johnson
Montgomery saw most of the action Before Jahmyr Gibbs took over in a negative game script on Thanksgiving. The full-backs have essentially rotated over the last two games, with Gibbs the favorite to score goals and Montgomery the preferred full-back. Montgomery returned to full practice on Thursday, and the Lions’ already heavy profile masked a suddenly shaken Jared Goff. Montgomery is a top-12 borderline RB even while splitting the job with Gibbs.
Johnson should see an expanded role with Michael Thomas on IR, Rashid Shahid will likely be out, and Chris Olave is also questionable after suffering a concussion last week. Johnson saw a season-high seven goals last week and has a Lions defense that has been decimated through the air recently. Johnson is a top 12 TE this week.
Seating: Joe Mixon
Starting: Christian Kirk
Mixon ran for just 16 yards on eight carries last week, as the Bengals badly missed Joe Burrow. The Jaguars have allowed an NFL-low 59.2 rushing yards per game to running backs this season, and the Bengals are big underdogs on Monday night with the team’s lowest implied point total this week. Mixon can be started if necessary, but should have RB3 expectations.
The Bengals are allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to get into the slot and play man coverage at a rate top 10. Kirk ranks top 12 yards per route run against a man, when he also sees his target rate jump to 31.0% compared to 18.5% Opposite the area. Kirk is a solid fantasy starter this week.
Travis Etienne is also in a bad situation Monday night if he’s healthy.
Starters: Zach Moss, DeAndre Hopkins
Moss gets Indianapolis’ backfield to himself Once again, with Jonathan Taylor undergoing thumb surgery. It’s not a perfect game against Tennessee, but Moss ran for 165 yards and scored 32.5 fantasy points (0.5 PPR) when he faced the Titans earlier this year. The Colts are a slight favorite, and Moss has impressed all season, so he’s a top-five RB this week.
The Titans have attempted just 45 passes over their last two games, but they should throw more on Sunday. Hopkins saw an elite field goal rate from Will Levis and had the 12th most fantasy points per route run versus zone, a coverage the Colts use in Highest rate in the league. Derrick Henry struggled to compete against the Panthers last week, so expect Hopkins to be involved in a big way on Sunday.
Starting: Jerome Ford
Sitting: Tyler Higbee
Ford saw 13 of Cleveland’s 20 chances last week and could be busier on Sunday. Kareem Hunt and Amari Cooper are both dealing with injuries, and Joe Flacco could be an upgrade at quarterback. Ford’s situation limits his upside, but he represents a great fantasy start this week.
Higbee was the top fantasy tight end last week, catching his first two touchdowns by a Rams tight end this season. But he belongs solidly on the bench against the Browns’ defense allowing the fewest fantasy points to get to tight ends. The center averaged an NFL-low 3.3 targets, 2.3 catches and 20.6 yards against Cleveland. Other than Mark Andrews, no tight end has reached 35 yards against the Browns this season. Sit down Higby this week.
Starting: Adam Thielen
Start DFS: Rashad White ($27)
Thielen’s fantasy start has gotten shakier thanks to Carolina’s offense, but he’s had a decent setup this week. Tampa Bay is stout against the run but has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season. The Buccaneers are also dealing with multiple defensive injuries and have given up the second-most fantasy points in the slot, with Thielen running 73% of his routes this year.
White is not an effective runner, but size has made him a very valuable fantasy. He ranks fourth in the league in touches and second among RBs in receiving yards. White has caught 43 of 46 targets this year and has Carolina’s defense allowing the third-most fantasy points to a running back. The Buccaneers are a 5.5-point home favorite against the worst team in the league, so the game script has to be right, too. I ranked White as a top-five RB this week.
Fade in DFS: Justin Herbert ($34)
Start DFS: Rhamondre Stevenson ($20)
Herbert’s not a bad fantasy start this week, but you could do better in DFS. His salary is just $1 less than that of Tua Tagovailoa and more than QBs with much better matchups like Brock Purdy ($32) and Sam Howell ($30). With Austin Ekeler not playing due to an ankle injury and Keenan Allen missing practice, the Chargers’ offense is vulnerable. New England is stingy against fantasy quarterbacks, so play the cheaper Purdy or Howell instead.
Stevenson saw Increase play time Coming off a bye and holding a season-high 21 last week. He topped 100 yards from scrimmage in three straight games after that Failing to do so over his first eight this chapter. Stevenson plays a big role in the passing game, and the Chargers have allowed the third-most receiving yards to run backs. Apparently Billy Zappi (with some Malik Cunningham possibly mixed in) He will see most of the QB reps in Week 13But Stevenson is considered the team’s centerpiece in attack in both cases.
Sitting: Drake London
Home: D/ST aircraft
It should be noted that London has Much better stats against man, a coverage the Jets use at a rate in the top 10. But New York has allowed the fewest yards and fantasy points to receivers this season. The Falcons are the top heavyweight team in the NFL and Jetsport Higher run rate compared to expected vsSo Atlanta’s passing attempts should be limited on Sunday (Especially during a confrontation Tim Boyle). Furthermore, Desmond Ryder has caught one pass through five road games this season, so London belongs on the fantasy bench this week.
Ridder has 17 sacks while averaging just 150 receiving yards over five road games this year. The Jets have one of the highest pressure rates in the league and are just two-point underdogs despite Boyle’s start. New York is off to a strong fantasy start in a game that hit its lowest point this week (34.0 points).
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